UN and Forecasters Warn of Intensifying 'Super' El Nino Through Early 2027

1-Minute Brief

The intensifying El Nino is expected to cause widespread weather disruptions, impacting global economies and public health across multiple regions.

Key Facts

• The World Meteorological Organization forecasts a 100% likelihood that El Nino will continue through February.
• Forecasters expect El Nino to peak towards the end of this year and persist until spring 2027.
• The event is projected to raise risks of floods, drought, and extreme heat, with some sources calling it 'supersized' or 'record' strength.
• Indonesian officials report that 'super El Nino' conditions are deepening drought and fueling wildfires in Southeast Asia.
• Millions in Southeast Asia have been exposed to toxic wildfire haze, with more than 12,000 children experiencing respiratory issues.

What Happened

The UN and meteorological agencies have issued warnings that the ongoing El Nino event is intensifying, with forecasts indicating it may become one of the strongest in decades and persist into early 2027.

Why It Matters

The anticipated extreme weather effects—such as floods, droughts, and heatwaves—could disrupt economies, agriculture, and public health, particularly in vulnerable regions like Southeast Asia.

What's Next

Authorities and international organizations are monitoring the situation and preparing for potential impacts, including increased wildfires, health risks, and economic disruptions as El Nino progresses.